Cao Shumin: There are still many variables in the mobile phone operating system market

On October 21st, Cao Shumin, dean of the Institute of Telecommunications of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, said that since 2009, the smart terminal market has experienced accelerated growth. Especially since the second half of 2010, shipments have maintained a rapid growth of more than 80% year-on-year.

“Since 2010, smart terminals have seen a trend of accelerated popularity. It is expected that the proportion of smart terminals in overall mobile terminal shipments will increase significantly to 26.5% in 2011,” said Cao Shumin.

Data shows that in the fourth quarter of 2010, shipments of smart terminals exceeded PCs; in 2011, the annual sales of smart terminals will exceed PC for the first time. At the same time, the mobile Internet is booming. In 2010, more than 8 billion mobile software applications were downloaded worldwide, and global mobile Internet traffic was 3 times the global Internet traffic in 2000. It is expected that the global mobile data traffic will nearly double every year in the next five years; global mobile internet users will surpass fixed Internet users in the next four years.

Cao Shumin stated that since the smart terminal operating system market entered a period of full competition in 2007, at present, Andrews has ranked first, but the market structure has not yet been finalized and there are still many variables.

“The mobile Internet reflects the convergence and transformation of the industry. The performance is firstly faced with vertical integration: the integration of services, applications, networks, terminals, and even chips and operating systems. Second, the new industrial ecosystem and development. The model was gradually formed in the collision: the closed model such as Apple has achieved success, and the open source model such as Google has also achieved success; finally, the key to success currently lies in the ecosystem: the direct competition between products and services has evolved into an integrated system of industrial ecosystems The strength of all-round competition, such as Apple, Google as the core of the existing ecosystem, WAC and other new alliances, as well as the terminal companies and software giants, etc.. Cao Shumin said.